Tonight’s Update has a few items:
– Update Fatigue
– Situation Update
– Weather Update – North Winds, but at least their lightish
– New Lake Level forecast
– Info on rules of access
Apologies for the lack of an update last night. Fatigue is setting in for all of us, and with almost 2,000 people each day now visiting our site, plus the shock of Tuesday, well – I`m human too. Any case, there is much happening with fellow residents posting their comments on the site – so more news is coming from all of us – which is awesome, and hopefully helpful to you. However, as a heads up – I`m planning on reducing the number of these updates, as I`m sure you are all tired of hearing them too!
Current Situation – Friday
There was a meeting between the DBA and the RM at 9am this morning to discuss the current situation. While there is nothing the RM can do about the high water or the weather, their focus is trying to help us with what resources they can contribute. They are working hard to keep roads open, they are also coordinating more sand bags, and super sandbags to be brought to Delta. In addition, they are maintaining a security checkpoint to control access, and maintain safety. The paramount concern given the current situation, is the safety of everyone.
We have not seen nor heard from any Provincial or Federal officials. Apparently someone important flew by in a helicopter today while I was out there – I did wave…as it is the customary Delta thing to do … and it was a very nice looking helicopter….(sorry, but my sense of humour has worn thin).
I was able to accompany Terry Simpson out to Delta today, in his 3/4 ton(thanks Terry), and the water has receded in some areas. The RM is working on Far West Access, and the road that they had built prior to the storm had handled the storm rather well. The hope is to have Far West access by tomorrow(Saturday). West Hackberry, for the most part, is still covered by water, but accessible by high clearance vehicles(1/2 tons or higher). East Hackberry has debris, sand bars, and some water. But you can get in!
The checkpoint is open from 8am to 8pm. Access beyond the checkpoint is available to residents by foot, 1/2 ton or 1 ton trucks, or other high clearance vehicles. Due to debris and unevenness of what remains of the roads, cars and light duty trucks are not recommended. A warning horn is in place to advise of evacuation, and will be sounded three long times to warn of impending flood danger. If you hear the horn, leave immediately.
At this point, focus is on providing residents access to sandbags and SuperSand bags for those who wish to rebuild their defences, as additional storms are, unfortunately, highly likely. Other residents may be choosing to remove belongings, or recover items effected by the storm damage – which is why road access is key too.
I was able to inspect a number of homes on the east beach, and while some are off their foundations or severely damaged, others are in tact, but most have issues with erosion of a nature where foundations/footings are at risk. Previously built water defences such as Gabions, rock walls, and so forth seem, for the most part, to be either in bad shape or ineffective. The water is very high, and while I was there Manitoba Water Stewardship personnel reported that the standing water during Tuesday(without waves) on Hackberry was at 818.7 feet. Today the water at the lakeside was definitely at 817.6 feet, as I had a survey stake where the water was sitting. The Province is reporting a Lake level of 815.61, without wind – so we must still be experiencing 2 feet of wind tide, or there is something else going amiss(perhaps my glasses?).
Residents are encouraged to continue to post information on the website, via the reply feature, on their own first hand accounts. These will automatically post to the column on the right side of the website.
Weather Outlook for Tomorrow
North Wind Alert, sustained winds for 12 hours, 13-17 km/h gusting to 15-24 km/h
New Lake Levels and Peak Water Dates
Not a great day to be hearing this from the Province, but here is the news from their latest flood report:
Forecasters have assessed the impacts of recent precipitation events on the Souris and Assiniboine Rivers. Water levels on tributaries of the Assiniboine River experienced increases between 0.1 ft and 4 feet since yesterday. Most tributaries have crested or are near crest. Flows on the Assiniboine River into the Portage Reservoir are forecast to reach around 43,800 cfs around June 4th and remain at these high flows until approximately June 8th.
Regrettably, the new Lake height and Peak dates have been forecast:
Peak lake level forecasts are being increased as a result of the heavy rains from the recent storm. Forecasters have predicted peak water levels within a range, with the lower range representing average future weather conditions and the upper range representing unfavourable weather conditions. The new Lake Manitoba forecasted peak is between 816.1 ft and 816.5 ft around July 5th.
So the new worst case number has moved from 815.8 to 816.5 feet. Peak Water date has moved from Mid-June to July 5th. On a positive note, we now have sandbars where the roads used to be, so grab your lawn chairs and umbrellas!
The Diversion today sits at 20,060 cfs, and the Fairford Dam is letting it out of the Lake at 18,250 cfs.
Rules of Access
Delta is basically – a disaster area. Make no mistake about it, we`ve been hit by a Hurricane of water and wind, and you really do need to be careful. The RM has issued a bulletin which you should review before you head out, as we really need to make sure everyone stays safe. Check it out at: